The 2010 Victorian state election, held on Saturday, 27 November 2010, was for the 57th Parliament of Victoria. The election was to elect all 88 members of the Legislative Assembly and all 40 members of the Legislative Council. The incumbent centre-left Labor Party government, led by John Brumby, was defeated by the centre-right Liberal/National Coalition opposition, led by Ted Baillieu. The election gave the Coalition a one-seat majority in both houses of parliament.
Voting is compulsory in Victoria. Elections for the Legislative Assembly use instant-runoff voting (called preferential voting in Australia) in single-member electorates (called districts). Elections for the Legislative Council use partial proportional representation, using single transferable vote (also called preferential voting) in multi-member electorates (called regions). Members of the Legislative Council are elected from eight electoral regions each returning five members, making the quota for election in each region 16.67%. The election was conducted by the Victorian Electoral Commission (VEC).
|Victorian state election, 2010|
All 88 seats in the Victorian Legislative Assembly
45 seats were needed for a majority
All 40 seats in the Victorian Legislative Council
At the 1999 election, the Labor Party led by Steve Bracks was able to form a minority government with the parliamentary support of 3 Independents, displacing the incumbent Jeff Kennett Liberal/National Coalition government. Labor was returned with a majority government after a landslide win at the 2002 election. Labor was elected for a third term at the 2006 election with a substantial but reduced majority. Labor won 55 of the 88 seats, a decrease of 7, and 54.4 percent of the two-party preferred vote, a decrease of 3.4 percent. Brumby replaced Bracks as Labor leader and Premier of Victoria in 2007.
The previous elections took place on Saturday, 25 November 2006. At the 2006 election, the Labor Party won 55 of the 88 seats, the Liberal Party won 23, the National Party won 9, and there was 1 Independent. Since that date a number of political changes took place.
Between the 2006 and 2010 elections, four by-elections took place. In Bracks' seat of Williamstown and Thwaites' seat of Albert Park in 2007, former minister Andre Haermeyer's seat of Kororoit in 2008, and former minister Lynne Kosky's seat of Altona in 2010. All four seats were retained by Labor. Labor MP Craig Langdon resigned from his seat of Ivanhoe in August 2010, however the by-election writ was discharged by the Parliamentary Speaker due to the proximity of the state election coupled with the cost of holding a by-election.
The Liberal and National Parties contested the election as a Coalition, which they had not done since the previous agreement lapsed in 2000. The Liberal Party departed from tradition and gave their preferences to Labor ahead of the Greens, thereby decreasing the chances of the Greens winning up to four inner city seats from Labor.
The Coalition launched their campaign on 14 November 2010 at the Melbourne Convention and Exhibition Centre in the electoral district of Melbourne, with the slogan: "Fix the problems. Build the future." Labor launched their campaign on 16 November 2010 in the electoral district of Bendigo East, using the slogan: "For the times ahead." The Greens ran with the slogan "This time, I'm voting Green".
The Coalition campaigned heavily against the Brumby Government's new Myki ticketing system, which had been delivered at triple the projected cost and years behind schedule, as well as its construction of an expensive desalination plant that many claimed was unnecessary. Other issues included health, education, and law and order. Ted Baillieu promised to restore the budget to surplus, employ more nurses and police, make Victorian teachers the highest paid in the country, and abolish suspended sentences which were seen as out of touch with community standards.
|Summary of votes by party|
Labor suffered a swing of 5.96 percent, a larger swing than the 1992 landslide that brought the Jeff Kennett-led Coalition to power. However, much of that swing was wasted on landslide victories in the Coalition's heartland. As a result, the Coalition only just managed the 13-seat swing it needed to make Baillieu premier, netting it a bare majority of two seats.
On 29 November, with the result beyond doubt, Brumby conceded defeat. He resigned as state Labor leader the next day. The new Liberal/National government was sworn in on 2 December 2010, and former Health Minister Daniel Andrews was elected Labor leader on 3 December.
|Summary of votes by party|
Legislative Council Seats Table
|Bentleigh||Labor||Rob Hudson||6.3||-7.1||0.8||Elizabeth Miller||Liberal|
|Burwood||Labor||Bob Stensholt||3.7||-9.6||5.9||Graham Watt||Liberal|
|Carrum||Labor||Jenny Lindell||6.7||-8.7||2.0||Donna Bauer||Liberal|
|Forest Hill||Labor||Kirstie Marshall||0.8||-3.9||3.2||Neil Angus||Liberal|
|Frankston||Labor||Alistair Harkness||3.2||-5.3||2.1||Geoff Shaw||Liberal|
|Gembrook||Labor||Tammy Lobato||0.7||-7.5||6.8||Brad Battin||Liberal|
|Gippsland East ¶||Independent||Craig Ingram||9.1||-21.1||12.0||Tim Bull||National|
|Mitcham||Labor||Tony Robinson||2.0||-4.7||2.8||Dee Ryall||Liberal|
|Mordialloc||Labor||Janice Munt||3.5||-5.6||2.1||Lorraine Wreford||Liberal|
|Mount Waverley||Labor||Maxine Morand||0.3||-7.8||7.4||Michael Gidley||Liberal|
|Prahran||Labor||Tony Lupton||3.6||-7.8||4.3||Clem Newton-Brown||Liberal|
|Seymour||Labor||Ben Hardman||6.7||-7.9||1.2||Cindy McLeish||Liberal|
|South Barwon||Labor||Michael Crutchfield||4.1||-6.2||3.9||Andrew Katos||Liberal|
Terms are fixed at four years. Elections occur in line with the fixed term provisions laid out in the Electoral Act 2002.
Key dates for the election were:
Polling conducted by Newspoll and published in The Australian is performed via random telephone number selection in city and country areas. Sampling sizes usually consist of over 1000 electors, with the declared margin of error at ±3 percent.
|23 – 25 Nov 2010||48%||38%|
|9 – 11 Nov 2010||50%||36%|
|Sep – Oct 2010||49%||31%|
|Jul – Aug 2010||52%||27%|
|May – Jun 2010||47%||31%|
|Mar – Apr 2010||49%||29%|
|Jan – Feb 2010||51%||29%|
|Nov – Dec 2009||54%||26%|
|Sep – Oct 2009||52%||27%|
|Jul – Aug 2009||52%||27%|
|May – Jun 2009||54%||21%|
|Jan – Feb 2009||54%||22%|
|Nov – Dec 2008||49%||27%|
|Sep – Oct 2008||45%||27%|
|Jul – Aug 2008||48%||26%|
|May – Jun 2008||51%||28%|
|Mar – Apr 2008||49%||23%|
|Jan – Feb 2008||48%||25%|
|Nov – Dec 2007||51%||22%|
|Sep – Oct 2007||51%||25%|
|22 – 23 Nov 2006||53%1||30%|
|Polling conducted by Newspoll|
and published in The Australian.
1 Steve Bracks.
^ Remainder were "uncommitted" to either leader.
|Primary vote||2PP vote|
|23 – 25 Nov 2010||33%||40%||5%||15%||7%||48.9%||51.1%|
|9 – 11 Nov 2010||37%||39%||5%||14%||5%||51%||49%|
|Sep – Oct 2010||35%||36%||4%||19%||6%||52%||48%|
|Jul – Aug 2010||38%||32%||4%||17%||9%||55%||45%|
|May – Jun 2010||34%||36%||4%||18%||8%||51%||49%|
|Mar – Apr 2010||37%||38%||3%||14%||8%||52%||48%|
|Jan – Feb 2010||39%||36%||3%||14%||8%||54%||46%|
|Nov – Dec 2009||41%||32%||3%||14%||10%||57%||43%|
|Sep – Oct 2009||43%||32%||3%||15%||7%||57%||43%|
|Jul – Aug 2009||43%||35%||2%||12%||8%||56%||44%|
|May – Jun 2009||42%||34%||3%||14%||7%||56%||44%|
|Jan – Feb 2009||46%||31%||2%||15%||6%||60%||40%|
|Nov – Dec 2008||45%||34%||3%||13%||5%||57%||43%|
|Sep – Oct 2008||37%||37%||4%||15%||7%||51%||49%|
|Jul – Aug 2008||41%||34%||4%||12%||9%||54%||46%|
|May – Jun 2008||41%||35%||3%||14%||7%||55%||45%|
|Mar – Apr 2008||44%||33%||3%||12%||8%||58%||42%|
|Jan – Feb 2008||43%||34%||3%||12%||8%||56%||44%|
|Nov – Dec 2007||51%||31%||3%||9%||6%||60%||40%|
|Sep – Oct 2007||49%||36%||4%||6%||5%||56%||44%|
|22 – 23 Nov 2006||45%||32%||5%||9%||9%||56%||44%|
|Polling conducted by Newspoll and published in The Australian.|
|The Age||Labor||The Sunday Age||Labor|
|The Australian||Labor||The Weekend Australian|
|The Australian Financial Review||Labor|
|The Herald Sun||Labor||Sunday Herald Sun||Labor|
William John Tilley (born 29 March 1963) is the Liberal Party member for the seat of Benambra in the Victorian Legislative Assembly. He was elected at the 2006 Victorian state election, beating Labor candidate and Wodonga mayor Lisa Mahood and former Nationals Upper House member Bill Baxter.
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Brian Walters is a prominent Melbourne barrister and human rights advocate. Brian was the Greens candidate for the state seat of Melbourne in the 2010 Victorian state election.Candidates of the 2010 Victorian state election
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John Mansfield Brumby (born 21 April 1953), is a former Victorian Labor Party politician who was Premier of Victoria from 2007 to 2010. He became leader of the Victorian Labor Party and Premier after the resignation of Steve Bracks. He also served as the Minister for Veterans' Affairs and the Minister for Multicultural Affairs. He contested his first election as Premier at the November 2010 Victorian state election. His government was defeated by the Liberal/National Coalition led by Ted Baillieu. Brumby resigned as Labor leader after the election, on 30 November, to be replaced by Daniel Andrews. Within weeks of this leadership change, Brumby left parliament, with a Broadmeadows by-election taking place on 19 February 2011.
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Natalie Maree Hutchins (née Sykes, born 9 March 1972), also known as Natalie Sykes-Hutchins, is an Australian politician. She has been an Labor Party member of the Victorian Legislative Assembly since 2010, representing the electorates of Keilor (2010–2014) and Sydenham (2014–present). She has been Minister for Local Government, Minister for Aboriginal Affairs and Minister for Industrial Relations in the Andrews Ministry since December 2014.
A former union organiser, Hutchins was first woman to be elected Assistant Secretary of the Victorian Trades Hall Council (VTHC). She was a Senior Advisor to the former Premier of Victoria, Steve Bracks, Chief of Staff to the former Victorian Minister of Education, Mary Delahunty, and was a founding partner in the research and strategy company Global Workplace Solutions. Hutchins, a member of Labor's Unity faction, is a member of the Australian Labor Party National Executive.
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Robert John "Rob" Hudson (born 9 December 1955, Melbourne, Victoria) is a former Australian politician, and was a member of the Victorian Legislative Assembly for the Labor Party. He holds honours degrees in Social Work and Law. Hudson is a supporter of the Hawthorn Hawks football club.
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Stephen Mayne (born 23 July 1969) is an Australian Walkley Award winning journalist, local government councillor, and self-described shareholder activist.Ted Baillieu
Edward Norman Baillieu (born 31 July 1953) is a former Australian politician who was Premier of Victoria from 2010 to 2013. He was a Liberal Party member of the Victorian Legislative Assembly from 1999 to 2014, representing the electorate of Hawthorn. He was elected leader of the Liberal Party in opposition in 2006, and served as Premier from 2010 until 2013 after winning the 2010 state election. He resigned as Premier on 6 March 2013, and was succeeded by Denis Napthine.Tim Bull
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